DK’s Tech prediction for 2011 – Full-time score

Wow, we have reached the end of 2011. That was fast. If you remember, I did some tech predictions for 2011. Here’s the full time score.

2011 will be the year of the Tablets
Spot on. But this is so easy, anyone could have guessed it. But what I didn’t predict is that I would buy a iPad 2 myself (I even took leave and queued for several hours). Oh, and did I say I’m loving my iPad 2?

Windows 7 tablet, tried by failed
Surprisingly, there isn’t much tablets running Windows 7. I was expecting a lot of them. I guess the folks at Microsoft know that Windows 7 isn’t really suitable for tablets. And it is actually good that there isn’t much Windows 7 tablets in the market. It would totally ruin the experience for customers.

Windows 8 would be interesting since it is designed for Touchscreen interface. Looking forward to that, hopefully in 2012.

iPad 2 with front facing camera
Yeap, iPad 2 has a front facing camera. I also predicted that there won’t be a back facing camera which is wrong. I’m surprised that Apple put a back facing camera on iPad 2. The quality of the back facing camera on iPad 2 is so bad that I don’t ever remember using it at all. (other than showing people how bad it is)

Colour e-ink reader from Amazon
Nope, Amazon did not release a colour e-ink reader. Instead, Amazon released the Kindle Fire which is a 7 inch colour touchscreen tablet. And it is selling like wildfire now.

The Kindle Fire is currently not on sale outside US. But that is not stopping people in Singapore from getting their hands on it.

Nokia release smartphone running either Windows Phone 7 or Android
Spot on! Nokia CEO Stephen Elop announced early this year that Nokia will be releasing Windows Phone 7 phone. They launched the Lumia 800 and Lumia 710 early this month in Singapore and the reviews are pretty good. Looking forward to more Windows Phone 7 goodness from Nokia in 2012.

Say goodbye to your Symbian and MeeGo phones. Sigh… Poor Nokia N9.

Rise of Windows Phone 7
Instead of going up, Windows Phone 7 market share went down for 2011. The market share went from 4.2% in 2010 to 1.5% in Q3 2011. This is mainly because there isn’t any new Windows Phone 7 phone for the first 3 quarter of 2011. But I still feel that there is great potential in Windows Phone 7. And with Nokia onboard, I think 2012 will be a great year for Windows Phone 7.

Google Chrome OS revive netbook market
Google Chrome OS? What’s that? Haha. Sadly, Google Chrome OS didn’t make much impact. The future of Google Chrome OS looks dim too.

Apple stop using Google Map for iOS
Not happening. Apple is still using Google Map for iOS 5 and there is no sign of them moving away.

No white iPhone 4
Just look around you and you might find someone having a white iPhone 4. Damn, I’m pretty bad at predictions.

Phones with Near Field Communications launched in Singapore but slow pick up in services
I got this right. Nokia did launch a couple of phones with NFC. There are some NFC services like using NFC to book taxi or get more information from a mobile website. But I doubt a lot of people are using them.

Singapore roll out LTE for consumers but takeup rate is slow
I almost got this wrong. M1 rolled out LTE for corporate customers only. SingTel rolled out LTE for consumers on the 2nd last week of 2011. And since it’s only launched for a week, my prediction is correct. (Kelong ah!)

Social Media will play an important role in Singapore General Election
Spot on. Need I say more?

No major phone makers except Apple will release phones using MicroSIM
Let me see. We have Nokia N9, Lumia 800 and Motorola RAZR using MicroSIM. There might be a few more phones out that that uses MicroSIM but I missed out.

So there you have it. Like I said, I’m pretty bad at prediction. Most of the things I predicted didn’t happen. Maybe I should just predict that my predictions for 2012 will be wrong. (See the irony?)

Disclaimer: These predictions are my own views and not representative of those of my employer.

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