DK’s Tech prediction for 2016 – Results

It’s the end of 2016. Almost forgot to take a look back at my 2016 tech prediction. Let’s see how badly I’ve done this time. Lol.

Drones… drones everywhere
Well, drones did get cheaper in the year 2016. And more portable too. DJI Mavic is a game changer. A lot more people are getting drones nowadays. But not as much as I expect. Looks like it will still need a few more years before drones really hit mainstream.

Drone accident
I’m glad this prediction didn’t come true. There was an unconfirmed report of a British Airways plane crashing with a drone in April. But investigation can’t confirm if it was really a drone. Besides that, there were several reports of near misses. Just glad that there wasn’t any drone accidents. But this is an issue that every government needs to look into. Hopefully together with the local UAV club to come up with a safety guideline to prevent accidents from happening.

Facebook launches virtual reality social networking
Facebook didn’t launch a virtual reality social network. But they did demo a social VR chat during the Facebook F8 conference in October. So I guess this prediction is close.

Touch gesture comes to Mac OS
Nope. No touchscreen for the Mac OS devices. They did however put a Touch Bar on the new 13 inch and 15 inch MacBook Pro.

Most smart phones will switch to USB Type C except iPhone
Surprisingly, this is moving slower than I expected. I must say that I was actually shocked when Samsung released the Samsung S7 still with Micro USB slot. Samsung Note 7 did come with USB Type C but that’s another story. But I’m right that iPhone won’t switch to USB Type C. At least we are seeing USB Type C on more laptops, especially the new MacBook Pro that has nothing but USB Type C port.

Canon or Nikon release a full frame mirrorless camera
Like I said, it is a wild guess. And nope, this didn’t happen.

WhatsApp loses its popularity
Didn’t happen. Although the WhatsApp sharing data with Facebook news in August did cause some people to stop using WhatsApp, the chat app is still very popular. (Besides, you can opt out of the data sharing.)

Netflix is going to be a big hit in Singapore
I’m not sure about this. I feel that the answer is no. It wasn’t a surprise that Netflix is now in Singapore. However it didn’t create a big bang like what I’m expecting. I guess mainly because the video library in Singapore is not as extensive as US. A lot of shows aren’t available in the Singapore version of Netflix. I tried the free trial but gave up after noticing that the last season of shows like House of Cards and Suits are not available here.

Singapore will regulate UberX
The Land Transport Authority introduced the Private Hire Car Driver Vocational Licencing (PDVL) framework in April this year. The framework is expected to take effect from the first half of 2017. Drivers will have to go through screening. They must also attend and pass a 10-hour PDVL course and go for a three-hour refresher course once every six years. I’m glad that the regulations are fair and there’s no over regulations to make it a “levelled playing field’ with the taxi companies.

Nobody cares about the Digital and Social Media Advertising Guidelines by ASAS
The Advertising Standards Authority of Singapore (ASAS) issued the Guidelines on Interactive Marketing Communication & Social Media back in August. I’m sure most companies are following those guidelines. But don’t think the guidelines changes anything for most bloggers, youtubers and online influnecers.

OK, that’s all. Didn’t really do well for the prediction as expected. I wonder if I should do another 1 for 2017.

Disclaimer: These predictions are my own views and not representative of those of my employer.

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